Super Bowl XVIII

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#3 Athena Nike (7-6) def #2 Gang Green (7-6), 141.6 - 126.5
As one prognosticator predicted, Athena Nike was the most dangerous team headed into the playoffs and then they went out and proved it, by taking down another higher seed as they romped their way to a title after putting up 135.6, 104.5, and a 141.6 points during the playoffs. (Note: The Super Bowl record for PF was 155.0 in 2001 by Buffy, which is wild since that was before we expanded starting lineups by two slots.) At the end of the day, Nike won eight straight from WK10 on, and that was after a 1-5 stretch from WK4-9, proving that perseverance is a key trait for every champion.

Their games got increasingly, slightly, tougher as they started off with a RD1 fifty-point blowout of Jammers, then a twenty-five point win versus top seeded Chunky in the Marvel finals, and finally a Super Bowl victory by “only” fifteen points. Of course, the title game was essentially sealed with a touchdown pass to Michael Thomas halfway through Sunday, and despite Ben Roethlisberger’s heroics and a comeback attempt by Christian McCaffrey, Gang Green fell short. Technically there were a lot of points left on Greg’s bench but none that would have been inserted normally, and to put an exclamation point for our year-long issues with defensive scoring, Texans defense threw up negative seven for the final matchup.

On the winning side, the heroes were many, as Baker Mayfield stepped in for an injured Cam Newton — his second start for Athena — and won a ring in his rookie NFL season. Ezekiel Elliot slowed a bit as the postseason wore on but still averaged 18+ points. The steadiest hand for Nike during the post-season was DeAndre Hopkins, who was an explosive stick of dynamite. Throw in Leonard Fournette and Adrian Peterson doing just enough, and it was a team-wide effort for this title. Heck, tight end Evan Engram was a free agent last week and then put up 14.3 points in the Super Bowl, while coach Frank also subbed out Vikings defense for Rams, resulting in a one-point increase.

In short, owner Frank’s plan worked out to perfection as he took a team that finished with only five wins in 2014 — the year Frank rejoined CTDB — and launched a rebuild that re-energized trade markets around the league and also resulted in Nike getting two #1 overall draftees despite never actually winning the Toilet Bowl.

Since inheriting a keeper core of Aaron Rodgers, Ray Rice, CJ Spiller, Alfred Morris, and Roddy White, Frank has turned over everyone to not only get younger, but also more talented. 2015 brought in DeAndre Hopkins and a RD3 for Nike's RD2 pick. That spare RD3 was then turned into Rob Gronkowski a day later. So yes, one RD2 pick brought in Hopkins and Gronk!

2016 was a mega-deal that resulted in draft picks used to grab Ezekiel Elliot and Michael Thomas. 2017 was another three-team mega-trade that involved Frank shipping off assets for Leonard Fournette and a bunch of future picks, knowing that 2018 was the year Athena Nike would mature into a contender. Three consecutive Augusts, four huge deals that laid the groundwork for this title run. There were other success stories too, like the long gestating belief in Amari Cooper’s talent if not actual production, etc. Even when stabbed in the back by GM Jon — who grabbed Calvin Ridley in 2018’s draft and gave Frank Cam Newton — things turned up roses for Frank as Newton outperformed Rodgers for most of the year.

All in all, it’s been a roller coaster ride for Frank in CTDB, split over two stints, but a short and well calculated flight to the top resulted in his first ring. Athena Nike looks stacked with talent galore and given the chance, Frank has a great shot at going back-to-back. Given the chance…

As for Gang Green, it was their fourth Super Bowl appearance but their first since their 2009 title. A third ring would’ve been nice but Greg was mostly just happy to be in the championship game after two previous seasons of getting bounced in RD1 of the Toilet Bowl. Gang Green finished the year out with the second best running back, Christian McCaffrey, and the best receiver, Davante Adams, meaning their traditionally star-less state is over. A 0-4 start to the season ended with 9-2 record until the title game loss. Being on the losing end of the highest scoring Super Bowl in CTDB history — and putting up the highest losing score ever -- is not bad at all for a runner-up season!

Toilet Bowl VIIII

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#4 Fat Jubas (5-8) def #3 Battle Angel (5-8), 134.8 - 97.0
Heading into this year’s Toilet Bowl, we were pretty sure Battle Angels were the favorite, despite being only the third seed. Vu’s team had been throwing up 120+ points routinely since WK7 and was the real people’s favorite to take the Toilet Bowl.

On the other hand, Fat Jubas had started the season off 3-1 but then slipped into a seven game losing streak to bring them to the bottom of the league. Two wins at the end of the regular season gave Jubas some momentum and then they finished it off by toppling Dirty Birds and Battle Angel on their way to their first Toilet Bowl victory — previously they had been there in 2014, but lost. After losing by 0.1 points in the first round of the Toilet Bowl last season, Eric must be overjoyed for this year’s success. Next year: a return to actual postseason glory?

The duo of Jameis Winston and Chris Carson put up 50+ combined while Battle Angel came out flat except for Philip Rivers and Alvin Camera. Nobody else save kicker Adam Vinatieri put up double figures for Angel and with Alshon Jeffery and David Johnson also scoring nice games, Jubas coasted to an easy consolation title. Who will they pick next year?! Nice win for Jubas to save a lost season!

Playoffs & TB 2018: RD2

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Playoffs, RD2 - Conference Finals
#1 Chunky Monkeys (9-4) vs #3 Athena Nike (7-6)
Frank's team took out the trash on the way to an "upset" of Tiiite End Jammers and now Evan's worst fears have materialized: a matchup with streaking Athena Nike, who haven't lost in five weeks. We are very excited about this matchup and can't wait to see what happens!

#1 Philadelphia Phreaks (7-6) vs #2 Gang Green (7-6)
Greenies didn't need Derrick Henry's 47.8 points to sneak by Fobsters in RD1. While Fobsters did make it interesting near the end, they eventually lost by -2.2 points, which was a common theme for them all season long. Phreaks had a huge week on bye, and a repeat would vault them right into their first ever Super Bowl appearance.


Toilet Bowl, RD2 - Finals
#3 Battle Angel (5-8) vs #4 Fat Jubas (5-8)
Both lower seeds advanced, but it's fair to say that Battle Angels, our #3 seed, was the clear Toilet Bowl favorite as they led CTDB in PF this season. They blew Buffy out by 33+ and that was all she wrote for Roger. Vu lost to Eric WK12 so there is an upset chance here.

Fat Jubas used a big week from Jameis Winston, plus a decent game from Steelers' third running back Jaylen Samuels, to upset defending champ Dirty Birds. After an eight-game win streak WK4-11, they've now won three in a row. Can they pick up one more victory and secure next year's top pick?!

Playoff Previews 2018

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A look at each team's 2018 season and playoff preview after our division re-names and a year of amazing parity that resulted in seven of our ten teams within one game of 0.500.

Tiiite End Jammers (7-6) vs Athena Nike (7-6)
After starting off red hot and looking like a juggernaut at midseason, Jammers have dropped five of their last six and barely squeaked into the playoffs — that one win was a 0.5 squeaker versus Fobsters too. All this and Jammers still ended up with the  easiest PA in the league at 110.4 per week.

So which Jammers will show up for the playoffs? Unfortunately, probably the same one that only put up 115.0 points per week, and it’s not like injuries wrecked their second half of the season. Aaron Rodgers  has slowed and despite his of impressive receivers — Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Emmanuel Sanders, Sony Michel — there just isn’t enough offense here. Rookie running backs Kerryon Johnson and Sony Michel have been good when on the field, but both have missed games. The absolute lost season from Le’Veon Bell really hurt here.

As for the team they’ll be facing, Athena Nike, it’s the complete opposite story. Frank’s team has won five of its last six and has had an absolutely monstrous back half of the season by stomping on every opponent and displaying a massive ceiling — it took a 173.4 PA in WK9 to beat Nike.

Ezekiel Elliot is a man refreshed, as is Amari Cooper post-Cowbodys trade. The trio of Cooper, Michael Thomas, and DeAndre Hopkins is excellent, and there’s a possibility Courtland Sutton sneaks in a start due to Matt Breida’s injury. With Leonard Fournette back from a one-game suspension and Adrian Peterson proving that he’s still got wheels, it should be an easy stroll in the park upset for Cam Newton and Athena Nike this week. Or does Frank step in with rookie Baker Mayfield?!?

Gang Green (7-6) vs Fobsters (6-7)
A WK13 win at Buffy locked in Gang’s playoff spot and they even got a higher seed out of the situation as Fobsters fell. Much like Phreaks, Greg’s team is peaking at the right time as they’ve put up 130+ in recent weeks, representing their best two week showings. And while Athena Nike has been wow-ing CTBD during the late stretch, Gang Green has cleaned up with five of six wins in their back half of the season as well. Just as we predicted, Gang finished up with a nice playoff push.

Christian McCaffrey has been the second half stud for this team, as the second-year running back has posted 31+ in four of his last five games. Davante Adams has been great as well, and after an early season of Deshaun Watson starts, it looks like Big Ben is now the preferred starter for coach Greg. There isn’t a whole lot behind McCaffrey-Adams as far as star power or depth, so it’ll take a lot for Green to avoid an upset.

The Capcom division leader heading into WK13, Fobsters slipped to a three-seed after a loss to 5-8 Jubas. Bad form. That’s three straight losses for Fobsters and four of six for their back half of the season. Still, the playoffs are a new ball game and Fobsters are undeniably talented as they sport Melvin Gordon, Kareem Hunt, Joe Mixon, and rookie second-half sensation Nick Chubb. Oh wait, did we mention Hunt? Whoops, looks like he’s gone due to his…we all know what happened. Still, with Gordon on the mend, a three-headed RB attack is still here for Fob.

The big question is their passing game, as Tom Brady has slipped this year and exciting years by sophomores Kenny Golladay and Corey Davis, this team could use a big more pop through the air.

A season featuring tough losses — by 2.5 to Monkeys, 0.5 to Jammers, 4.3 to Gang Green — leaves this team wondering what could have been. If Fobsters get knocked out in the first round, they’ll perhaps regret not pulling the plug on Brady earlier, despite a nice season’s worth of unearthing gems like Chubb, Golladay, Anthony Miller, and Geronimo Allison.

Bye Teams
Chunky Monkeys (9-4)
Flying very high off back-to-back 160+ point weeks, Chunky will look forward to a bye after laying an absolute egg in WK13, scoring their lowest total of the season. That blip won’t really matter though as Monkeys are still in pole position for a title after racking up 130.4 points per game — good for second in CTDB.

Rookie of the year Saquon Barkely has led Monkeys all year and there is plenty of support behind him as Kirk Cousins and Tyreek Hill, although a slightly weak tight end position could be cause for concern moving forward. Still, a big congrats to Monkeys for going last-to-first and capturing a Marvel division title — for the ninth time — as well as the best record in the league by two whole games.

Philadelphia Phreaks (7-6)
Ping’s team vaulted into a bye and a Capcom division title in WK13 by securing a win over Battle Angel and then out tie-breaking Gang Green. They seem to be peaking at just the right time too, as they’ve put up back-to-back 140+ points and super passing attack of Patrick Mahomes, Zach Ertz, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and Keenan Allen will have to take the week off.

After suffering through season ending injuries to Devonta Freeman, Cooper Kupp, and Marshawn Lynch, it’s been a big victory for Ping to emerge with this bye week, a distinction they last earned in 2014, and now with three division titles total.

Toilet Bowl Preview 2018

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And our 2018 Toilet Bowl participants... Remember that Toilet Bowl seedings aren't based on divisions!

#1 Dirty Birds (6-7) vs #4 Fat Jubas (5-8)
After getting pounded by the second highest PA in the league, our defending champs were sent to the Toilet Bowl with two losses in their last three games. Despite the fantasy all-stars that were Todd Gurley and Drew Brees, Birds could never find a consistent rhythm all season and will instead be forced to play in the consolation tournament.

Still, they have a good chance here to advancing, as they are the one-seed and feature Brees/Gurley along with a quartet of nice receivers around Gurley — Odell Beckham Jr, TY Hilton, recent trade acquisition Robert Woods, and rookie Calvin Ridley. With Dalvin Cook finally healthy, Dirty hopes to redeem their lost season with a high pick.

Fat Jubas are our champs from two years ago — making this the Toilet Bowl battle between the two previous champs — but also slipped to the bottom after a 4-9 2017 season. Well, 2018 wasn’t much better as Jubas ripped off eight straight losses between WK4-11, thus sealing their fate. The good news is that’ve put up 115+ in their last two outings, the bad news is Dirty Birds puts up 123.3 per and has only been under 115 once in their last seven tries.

Still, with a strong passing game, including the return of Jameis Winston as a starter, Jubas could look to use Winston, Adam Thielen, and Mike Evans to create an upset special. Somehow recent trade acquisition Tarik Cohen and post-injury Chris Carson are now this team’ best bets at running back, as David Johnson and Tevin Coleman are slowing down just as the postseason competition ramps up. Jubas could sure us a top finish in the Toilet Bowl to return to their previous glory.

#2 LA Buffy (6-7) vs #3 Battle Angel (5-8)
What a wild roller coaster ride for Buffy, as they started off 1-4, won four straight, and then whimpered to a 1-3 finish. And now it looks like James Connor and AJ Green are both out, leaving Buffy a very tenuous two-seed in the Toilet Bowl.

It’s been a juggling act all season for Roger as he’s shifted pieces in and out, with Andrew Luck and Russell Wilson splitting time at quarterback and injuries across the board. A backfield of James White, Peyton Barber, and TJ Yeldon aren’t that scary and the aged trio of Larry Fitzgerald, Julian Edelman, and Doug Baldwin won’t strike fear into anyone’s hearts either. First round pick at 1.2, Royce Freeman, has been a dud and has left Buffy mostly toothless for this matchup, despite the nominal upper seed.

What happens when you pair the best PA with the best PF in the league? Well, you get a Toilet Bowl monster, that’s what! Battle Angels led CTDB with 133.2 points per week while facing opponents who put up 132.4 on average. That’s not a lot room for error and Vu has found himself stumbling after a 3-1 start with a 2-7 record the rest of the way. Oh, but when this team is on, it can be on as they boast Alvin Kamara, Philip Rivers (or Jared Goff), and Travis Kelce in key positions.

There’s even a double tight end lineup here of Kelce and Greg Kittles here, along with grabbing another great FA rookie running back in Bronco Phillip Lindsay -- Vu is starting to specialize in this after Kamara and Lindsay in back-to-back years undrafted. Plus Aaron Jones as an under-the-radar seance half breakout. Receiver Jarvis Landry has been inconsistent all year so Adam Humphries and his string of wonderful games have taken over Landry’s starting spot, alongside Brandin Cooks.

So while Battle Angel are only the three-seed in the Toilet Bowl, they have to be the favorite to win it all for a number one pick in 2019.

Playoff Matchups: 2018

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Playoffs, RD1
Tiiite End Jammers (7-6) vs Athena Nike (7-6)
Gang Green (7-6) vs Fobsters (6-7)

Byes: Chunky Monkeys (9-3), Philadelphia Phreaks (7-6)

*Tie-breaker: Points Scored, H2H was tied 1-1 so Tiiite End Jammers beat Athena Nike on PF for higher seed
*Tie-breaker: Points Scored, H2H was tied 1-1 so Philadelphia Phreaks defeat Gang Green on PF for higher seed and division title

Toilet Bowl, RD1
#1 Dirty Birds (6-7) vs #4 Fat Jubas (5-8)
#2 LA Buffy (6-7) vs #3 Battle Angel (5-8)

*Tie-breaker: Points Scored, H2H was tied 1-1 for both 6-7 and 5-8 teams so defer to PF

Standings 2018

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